Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 7.282842 8.465904 9.742260 11.217060 12.869439 14.658921 16.738552
2025-12-07 5.626600 7.193203 9.011906 11.261518 13.950398 17.041719 20.843674
2025-12-14 4.667430 6.423908 8.580406 11.386320 14.900885 19.115786 24.506754
2025-12-21 3.944455 5.791195 8.170816 11.402408 15.610275 20.833074 27.726065
2025-12-28 3.505572 5.445466 8.051564 11.721325 16.656627 22.957475 31.487222
2026-01-04 3.119585 5.109486 7.888361 11.933198 17.533534 24.864935 35.014032
2026-01-11 2.751419 4.745152 7.635334 11.976605 18.153473 26.429506 38.123372
2026-01-18 2.341076 4.261309 7.154602 11.642089 18.204445 27.202275 40.175144
2026-01-25 2.014585 3.864358 6.756913 11.381475 18.319794 28.038316 42.311700
2026-02-01 1.729138 3.495912 6.362387 11.083345 18.343854 28.723397 44.237266
2026-02-08 1.490160 3.174236 6.007240 10.809165 18.371276 29.393149 46.140902
2026-02-15 1.271433 2.858179 5.627850 10.460195 18.251649 29.826254 47.699570
2026-02-22 1.146916 2.703519 5.509431 10.528342 18.784505 31.248206 50.756007
2026-03-01 1.031872 2.551525 5.380269 10.565737 19.264605 32.602796 53.752480
2026-03-08 0.941454 2.436377 5.304614 10.684057 19.872894 34.164827 57.096631
2026-03-15 0.847795 2.300774 5.177136 10.699325 20.306199 35.464215 60.075188
2026-03-22 0.798095 2.254069 5.212362 11.002121 21.226091 37.546558 64.299159
2026-03-29 0.741416 2.183471 5.193839 11.203327 21.978542 39.383439 68.190439
2026-04-05 0.673758 2.077061 5.093606 11.244553 22.453858 40.787452 71.441233
2026-04-12 0.580115 1.891929 4.814160 10.926883 22.284215 41.136691 73.037377
2026-04-19 0.503916 1.737205 4.581602 10.679453 22.220018 41.646534 74.890552
2026-04-26 0.434222 1.586472 4.341102 10.396471 22.072395 42.004855 76.500235
2026-05-03 0.374654 1.451837 4.121182 10.136288 21.948268 42.390262 78.153986